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Holiday Travel Forecast: Interest Up, Prices Down — and a Bit More Hope in the Air

November 24, 2025 By admin Leave a Comment

It’s quietly reassuring to see travel interest rise again. According to fresh data from KAYAK, search activity for holiday travel is up about 10% year-over-year, signaling that people aren’t just browsing—they’re emotionally ready to go somewhere. What makes this rise even more interesting is that prices aren’t marching upward with it. Instead, they’re leveling out or dipping, almost as if the market collectively decided not to sabotage the seasonal cheer.

International flights are down around 7%, domestic airfare shaved off about 1%, rental cars in the U.S. fell 6%, and hotels mostly held their ground with modest changes. That adds up to a season where spontaneity isn’t punished, and flexibility pays off more than usual. Kate Williams from KAYAK put it plainly: demand is strong, but the window for real deals hasn’t closed. And honestly, it’s refreshing to hear data and optimism in the same sentence.

Eastern Europe ending up as the unexpected holiday darling of 2025 adds another layer to the story. For years, Prague flirted with winter-travel fame—now it’s fully arrived—but Warsaw skyrocketing 73% in searches feels like a plot twist.

Tallinn and Budapest riding the same trend makes sense if you’ve ever wandered their old towns in December, where everything smells like mulled wine and history. And with Romania and Bulgaria joining Schengen, the travel map in that region just got smoother, eliminating logistical friction that used to scare off first-timers.

For bargain hunters—people who treat airfare drops like a personal competition—the numbers get interesting. Tokyo leads the way with a staggering 29% airfare dip, followed by Venice at -18% and Helsinki at -19%. On the domestic front, Myrtle Beach, Reno, and Bozeman offer the biggest drops. Not glamorous choices maybe, but sometimes value destinations surprise you with a better story than expected.

Then there’s the game-within-the-game: timing. The calendar has clear winners. Those willing to fly on November 24 for Thanksgiving or December 24 for Christmas could save a surprising amount and avoid peak crowds. Yes, flying on Christmas Eve feels inconvenient at first glance, but quieter terminals, cheaper fares, and an almost cinematic atmosphere can make it strangely enjoyable. There’s also a behavioral tip buried in last year’s data: Cyber Monday delivered the cheapest domestic flights, and Travel Tuesday delivered the best international fares. Those patterns might repeat, so it’s worth keeping tabs open (or at least notifications on).

And because it’s 2025, travel searching is now slipping into the era of conversational computing. KAYAK’s new AI Mode lets travelers type something as casual as “Find me somewhere warm for under $500 leaving from LAX during Christmas week” and get live, workable itineraries. It feels like the kind of tool that will quietly become the new default because it removes the friction so many people secretly dread: the endless tabs, the filtering, the mental math.

There’s a quiet emotional beat at the end of all this—Kate Williams phrased it nicely: having a trip planned for the end of the year feels like a gift. Maybe that’s sentiment, maybe strategy, maybe both. But it rings true. Travel isn’t just logistics and deals; it’s motivation. It’s an antidote to routine. It’s the small spark that makes the calendar feel less mechanical.

If you haven’t booked yet, this season feels forgiving—affordable enough to dream, and practical enough to make those dreams stick.

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